Publications
Economic analysis and policy recommendations based on rigorous academic underpinnings
Recent publications
“一带一路”战略如何促进中欧贸易?
2013年9月中国习近平主席提出“一带一路”重大倡议,得到国际社会的高度关注。虽然各界对于“一带一路”倡议的最终目标的解释层出不穷,但有一点是毋庸置疑的,那就是通过基础设施升级和贸易便利化,来加强地区间和国际间的连接性,这个巨大的地理区域涵盖了超过60个国家,约占世界人口比重的60%和全球GDP总
欧元区管理改革:需要解决的问题及途径
欧盟:需要清晰的外资并购政策
欧元体系的抵押品政策:调整是否适当?
更完善的G20和全新G7+:新世纪的需要
Publication list
Working paper
02 April 2020
Forecasting exchange rates of major currencies with long maturity forward rates
This paper presents unprecedented exchange rate forecasting results based upon a new model which approximates the gap between the fundamental equilibr
Blog post
31 March 2020
How COVID-19 is laying bare inequality
COVID-19 is laying bare socio-economic inequalities and could exacerbate them in the near future. The virus is a risk factor particularly for those at
Blog post
30 March 2020
The fiscal consequences of the pandemic
The likely economic depression triggered by coronavirus will pose a serious fiscal challenge to some euro-area countries. Given the special circumstan
Blog post
30 March 2020
Is COVID-19 triggering a new emerging-market crisis?
Emerging economies have received little attention in the economic debate regarding the COVID-19 pandemic, yet the performance of their primary market
Blog post
26 March 2020
COVID-19 Fiscal response: What are the options for the EU Council?
It is time for the EU Council to make quick progress on the fiscal front and announce something as soon as possible to show that it taken full measure
Blog post
25 March 2020
Covid-19 crisis: electricity demand as a real-time indicator
Comparing average weekday hourly electricity demand for the last few weeks to the year before, we visualise the moment when the current crisis began t
Blog post
25 March 2020
What the EU should do and not do on trade in medical equipment
The European Union has introduced export controls on some medical supplies. This was a mistake. It should announce that it is withdrawing the measure,
Blog post
25 March 2020
Coronavirus and the politics of a common fiscal instrument
Coronavirus means many European Union countries will soon face major increases in their sovereign debt burdens, exacerbated by the sudden collapse of
Blog post
24 March 2020
Banks in pandemic turmoil
The banking system is critical to society and requires attention and support. In doing so, however, tough love is preferable to complacency.
Blog post
23 March 2020
Artificial intelligence in the fight against COVID-19
Artificial intelligence can help fight the coronavirus through applications including population screening, notifications of when to seek medical help
Blog post
23 March 2020
Big data versus COVID-19: opportunities and privacy challenges
All available resources need to be brought to bear on the novel coronavirus COVID-19. To what extent can digital technology help? What risks are there
Blog post
19 March 2020
COVID-19 and broken Collusion: the oil price collapse is one more warning for Russia
In the midst of the COVID-19 epidemic, the sharp collapse in the oil price has received little attention. Brent fell by 30% on 9 March, the largest fa
Blog post
18 March 2020
What should be done to reduce euro-area spreads?
Spreads are rising again in the euro-area at the worst possible time, when fiscal policy is needed to fight the coronavirus pandemic and the related e
Blog post
18 March 2020
The case for a derivative market programme
The implementation of a Derivative Market Programme could reaffirm the ECB’s credibility and strong commitment to price stability.
Blog post
17 March 2020
Be bold now: coronavirus, the Eurogroup and fiscal safety nets
This blog post sketches two scenarios: one in which countries provide a large fiscal safety net to companies and another in which they do not. Both le
Policy brief
12 March 2020
An effective economic response to the Coronavirus in Europe
'Whatever it takes' needs to be the motto to preserve lives and reduce the impact on the economy of the epidemic.
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