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Monetary policy in the time of COVID-19, or how uncertainty is here to stay

The COVID-19 crisis has compounded the uncertainty that has come to characterise the European economy. We explore how this uncertainty manifests itself in terms of ECB decision-making and the long-run challenges the ECB faces.

By: and Date: November 12, 2020 Topic: European Macroeconomics & Governance

This paper was prepared for the European Parliament’s Requested by the ECON committee. The original paper is available on the European Parliament’s webpage, as part of a series of papers on “Effects of
Pandemic-Induced
Uncertainty on
Monetary Policy” (here). Copyright remains with the European Parliament at all times.

 

The COVID-19 crisis has compounded the uncertainty that has
come to characterise the European economy. We explore how
this uncertainty manifests itself in terms of ECB decision-making
and the long-run challenges the ECB faces. Confidence in ECB
actions will come from the contingency scenarios it considers
and communicates on, and from the adoption of potential
policies for a wide range of such scenarios. Greater clarity around
the ECB’s inflation target and surrounding tolerance bands
would also be beneficial.

This document was provided by the Policy Department for
Economic, Scientific and Quality of Life Policies at the request of
the Committee on Economic and Monetary Affairs (ECON) ahead
of the Monetary Dialogue with the ECB President on 19
November 2020.

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Opinion

A Global Pandemic Alarm Bell

The appearance of new strains of the coronavirus in the United Kingdom, South Africa, and Brazil has given the world no choice but to design and implement a comprehensive global strategy. So, what's stopping that from happening?

By: Jean Pisani-Ferry Topic: Global Economics & Governance Date: January 26, 2021
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Opinion

疫情對全球經濟的結構性改變或比想像的更深

現在是時候重新思考我們目前經濟模式中的基本原理,來減輕這些影響。

By: Alicia García-Herrero Topic: Global Economics & Governance Date: January 21, 2021
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Podcast

Podcast

Where did the vaccine strategy go wrong?

“We have to open our mind, we have to look internationally. Because if we don’t, COVID-19 is going to stay with us.”

By: The Sound of Economics Topic: Global Economics & Governance Date: January 20, 2021
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Past Event

Past Event

Monetary and fiscal policy interaction in times of Next Generation EU

Could Next Generation EU enable a better coordination of monetary and fiscal policy

Speakers: Lorenzo Bini Smaghi, Grégory Claeys and Hans Vijlbrief Topic: European Macroeconomics & Governance Location: Bruegel, Rue de la Charité 33, 1210 Brussels Date: January 20, 2021
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Blog Post

What do vaccination passports mean for Europe?

To the extent that vaccination against COVID-19 stops individuals infecting others, restrictions on vaccinated individuals’ rights should be lifted: fundamental freedoms should not be limited unnecessarily. Nevertheless, acceptance of vaccination passports depends on whether the vaccination allocation timeline is perceived as fair.

By: Lionel Jeanrenaud, Mario Mariniello and Guntram B. Wolff Topic: European Macroeconomics & Governance Date: January 20, 2021
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Opinion

Résilience : la nouvelle boussole

Pour surmonter le choc de la pandémie de Covid-19, l’économiste écarte, dans sa chronique, l’idée d’un repli protectionniste, mais suggère de passer d’un objectif de réduction des coûts à celui de la réduction des risques.

By: Jean Pisani-Ferry Topic: Global Economics & Governance Date: January 18, 2021
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Upcoming Event

Jan
27
16:00

In search of a fitting monetary policy: the ECB's strategy review

The ECB is reviewing its monetary policy strategy. How to ensure monetary policy is fit for purpose in a fast changing world?

Speakers: Maria Demertzis, Philip Lane, Reza Moghadam and Erik F. Nielsen Topic: European Macroeconomics & Governance Location: Bruegel, Rue de la Charité 33, 1210 Brussels
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Blog Post

A matter of life and death: governments must speed up vaccination

COVID-19 vaccination in Europe and the United States is moving too slowly and is failing to prevent avoidable death and economic disruption. More must be done to accelerate the campaign by targeting those most at risk.

By: Uri Dadush Topic: Global Economics & Governance Date: January 13, 2021
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Blog Post

Corporate insolvencies during COVID-19: keeping calm before the storm

Measures in major economies have protected companies from COVID-19 related insolvency, but have also protected weak firms. Nevertheless, support should remain as long as necessary, while cumbersome insolvency processes should be reformed for the long term.

By: Grégory Claeys, Mia Hoffmann and Guntram B. Wolff Topic: European Macroeconomics & Governance Date: January 7, 2021
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Blog Post

Has the European Union squandered its coronavirus vaccination opportunity?

The European Union’s purchases of frontrunner coronavirus vaccines are insufficient for the population’s near-term needs. The shortfall could have healthcare consequences and might delay economic reopening. Lessons should be learned for future pandemics.

By: J. Scott Marcus Topic: Innovation & Competition Policy Date: January 6, 2021
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Blog Post

When the future changes the past: fiscal indicator revisions

The 2020 pandemic economic shock has led to reassessment of fiscal policy measures in 2018 and earlier, because of faulty measurement of unobserved output gaps and structural balances. The current period of suspension of EU fiscal rules should be used to design a better fiscal framework.

By: Zsolt Darvas Topic: European Macroeconomics & Governance Date: January 5, 2021
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Opinion

Europe's disappointing investment deal with China

Why rush a deal that is so inherently complex?

By: Alicia García-Herrero Topic: Global Economics & Governance Date: January 4, 2021
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