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台灣大選的關鍵因素不在經濟,而在兩岸議題
雖然經濟因素在選舉中常是關鍵角色,但在2024台灣大選發揮的作用,並不如想像中的大。無可迴避的關鍵問題,仍在兩岸關係。
香港2024經濟前景:曲折和挑戰重重
2023年香港經濟經歷了周期性回升,但新冠疫情帶來的經濟創傷和外部環境帶來的阻力將繼續挑戰2024年的經濟前景。
中國經濟面臨結構性放緩,亞洲其他經濟體韌性較強
亞洲新興經濟體的崛起將有助於緩和中國的結構性放緩。
中國資本流動情況及影響一覽
中國的淨資本流動和外匯結算表明人民幣將繼續走弱。
中國結構性放緩背後的深層原因有哪些?
中國經濟的快速放緩是結構性因素導致的,不能完全用疫情衝擊來解釋。這是中國的發展模式所帶來的固有問題,因此能夠緩解這種結構性減速的政策極難實施。
Commentary items
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Opinion piece
13 June 2016
Keine Energiewende ohne Energieunion
Die europäische Perspektive ist für den Erfolg der deutschen Energiewende entscheidend. Doch die europäischen Partner werden nicht einfach die deutsch
Georg Zachmann
Opinion piece
08 June 2016
The Juncker plan needs to be turned on its head
The Juncker Plan was launched one year ago to boost investment in Europe: has the plan been successful so far? How can we better use the EIB to increa
Grégory Claeys and Alvaro Leandro
Opinion piece
03 June 2016
Berlin and Paris need a strategy for Brexit
Which political strategy should the EU and its biggest two members, France and Germany, pursue if the UK were to leave?
Guntram B. Wolff
Opinion piece
25 May 2016
Lessons for the euro from early US monetary and financial history
In this essay, Jeffry Frieden looks at the process of creating a monetary union in the United States and draws lessons for the EU.
Jeffry Frieden
Opinion piece
11 May 2016
European financing for the European refugee crisis
Protecting the EU's external borders is a shared task, which can be most effectively carried out if paid for with common funding. A tax on carbon co
Guntram B. Wolff
Opinion piece
04 May 2016
EU must step up energy cooperation with southern Mediterranean countries
Furthering energy cooperation between the EU and countries in the Southern Mediterranean is a challenge, but also a great opportunity. Supporting su
Simone Tagliapietra
Opinion piece
27 April 2016
Debt, not reserves, to constrain China’s cross-border buying spree
Despite an $800 billion drain on China’s foreign reserves over the last 20 months, Chinese firms have been on a buying spree that has only accelerated
Alicia García-Herrero
Opinion piece
19 April 2016
Chinese banks: the way forward
Despite the economic downturn the Chinese banking system continues its expansion. Concerns are rising about the institutions' strenght, as bad loans c
Alicia García-Herrero
Opinion piece
12 April 2016
How to reform EU fiscal rules
The current inefficient European fiscal framework should be replaced with a system based on rules that are more conducive to the two objectives of pu
Zsolt Darvas and Grégory Claeys
Opinion piece
11 April 2016
Making the EU-Turkey refugee deal work
The EU deal with Turkey reached on 18 March is problematic, but without a deal the EU’s external borders would have collapsed completely. Now the EU
Guntram B. Wolff
Opinion piece
10 April 2016
Mere criticism of the ECB is no solution
What would happen if the ECB failed to respond to the excessively low inflation and the weak economy? And what economic policy would be suitable under
Guntram B. Wolff, Marcel Fratzscher, Reint Gropp, Hans-Helmut Kotz, Jan Pieter Krahnen and Christian Odendahl
Opinion piece
30 March 2016
ECB decisions put lack of fiscal union in the spotlight
Fiscal policy in the euro area is hardly supporting the recovery and the ECB. The EU needs a a proper fiscal union in order to stabilise the economy
Agnès Bénassy-Quéré and Guntram B. Wolff
Opinion piece
18 March 2016
The refugee crisis: A European call for action
Open Letter by the conveners of the Vision Europe Summit regarding the refugee
crisis in Europe and the necessity to act now.
Guntram B. Wolff, Aart de Geus, Artur Santos Silva, Mikko Kosonen, Piero Gastaldo, Robin Niblett and Yves Bertoncini
Opinion piece
17 March 2016
The UK’s sovereignty myth
Those who argue that Brexit would let the UK “take back sovereignty” overlook the impact of trade on domestic law-making.
André Sapir and Guntram B. Wolff
Opinion piece
15 March 2016
The G20’s structural reform agenda should address income gap and financial system fragility
G20 leaders must address major issues like the distribution of income and the structure of our financial systems in order to combat the deeper underly
Guntram B. Wolff
Opinion piece
11 February 2016
Why euro-zone ‘outs’ should join banking union
Joining the banking union could provide a stable arrangement for managing financial stability for the UK and other non-Euro countries.
Pia Hüttl and Dirk Schoenmaker