Ways to revive global growth
What are the prospects for medium-term global growth, and what role can productivity reforms play in reversing the slowdown?
Speakers
Reinhard Felke
Director, Policy coordination, economic forecasts and communication, European Commission, DG ECFIN
Nan Li
Deputy Division Chief, Research Department, International Monetary Fund
Jochen Schanz
Senior Economist, European Investment Bank
Agenda
Check-in and welcome coffee
15:30-16:00Agenda
Presentation
16:00-16:10- Nan Li, Deputy Division Chief, Research Department , International Monetary Fund
Agenda
Panel discussion
16:10-16:45- Chair: Niclas Poitiers, Bruegel Research fellow
- Reinhard Felke, Director, Policy coordination, economic forecasts and communication, European Commission, DG ECFIN
- Nan Li, Deputy Division Chief, Research Department , International Monetary Fund
- Jochen Schanz, Senior Economist, European Investment Bank
Agenda
Q&A
16:45-17:00The world economy's growth engine is losing steam, prompting questions about its medium-term prospects. This event features a presentation of chapter 3 from the latest IMF World Economic Outlook. This chapter delves into the drivers behind the growth decline and identifies a significant and widespread slowdown in total factor productivity as a key factor, partly driven by increased misallocation of capital and labor between firms within sectors. Demographic pressures and a slowdown in private capital formation further precipitated the growth slowdown. Absent policy action or technological advances, medium-term growth is projected to fall well below prepandemic levels. To bolster growth, urgent reforms are necessary to improve resource allocation to productive firms, boost labor force participation, and leverage artificial intelligence for productivity gains. Addressing these issues is critical, given the additional constraints high public debt and geoeconomic fragmentation may impose on future growth.