Global economy and trade

Between a rock and a hard place: the EU response to national import bans on Ukrainian grain

The European Commission had to choose between imperfect alternatives because of frontline state backlash against massive Ukrainian grain imports.

De-risking as an economic strategy

Russian LNG: what measures will help the EU kick the habit?

A new measure of aggregate trade restrictions: cyclical drivers and macro effects

In this paper, we present a new measure of aggregate trade restrictions.

China’s weak recovery is turning off foreign investors

Quick rebound expected after the relaxation of zero-Covid policies has not materialised.

China’s growing power in Latin America

China’s growth: what is to come?

Decelerated economic growth has and will continue to determine China’s position in global, regional and national spheres.

Russian foreign trade tracker

China and the US might not be decoupling but their technologies are bifurcating

Once the process of building alliances starts, it is hard to stop.

China’s overseas lending needs a full-fledged debt restructuring

US-China tech bifurcation

Compared to instant decoupling, bifurcation offers a more gradual process that requires clear understanding of the direction and speed of divergence.

The problem with preferential trade agreements

Preferential agreements can be an alternative to a sclerotic WTO, but, if multilateral rules fail, they also risk conflict between trading blocs

Not Even a Recession: The Great German Gas Debate in Retrospect

The German economy coped with the end of Russian gas and could have equally withstood an April 2022 cut-off