Podcast

Macroeconomic outlook: are we back on track?

Summary of the macro outlook based on Commission forecasts and analysis of the global picture.

By: Date: March 5, 2021 Topic: European Macroeconomics & Governance

This podcast episode is part of Bruegel’s macroeconomic outlook series of The Sound of Economics, in which we bring you regular analysis of all things macro and fiscal policy.

This February, the European Commission published the Winter 2021 Economic Forecast with the estimation of a 3.7% increase in GDP in the EU in 2021. While this means a recovery from the pandemic, economic uncertainty still remains significant.

On the other side of the globe, the Biden administration has announced a $1.9 trillion fiscal package. Would this result in inflation risks? How will this affect European economies? And, what fiscal intervention is needed in the euro area?

Maria Demertzis, Deputy director of Bruegel, is joined by Elina Ribakova, Deputy Chief Economist at the Institute of International Finance, Christian Odendahl, Chief economist at the Centre for European Reform and Grégory Claeys, senior fellow at Bruegel to discuss the Commission forecast, recent US fiscal package and their insights of the macroeconomics outlook in the EU and globally.

Relevant publications:

Demertzis, M. (2021) ‘A K-shaped recovery and the role of fiscal policy

Claeys, G. and M. Demertzis (2021) ‘The productivity paradox: policy lessons from MICROPROD’, Policy Contribution 01/2021, Bruegel

Demertzis, M., M. Domínguez-Jiménez and A. Lusardi (2020) ‘The financial fragility of European households in the time of COVID-19’, Policy Contribution 2020/15, Bruegel

Read article More on this topic More by this author
 

Podcast

Podcast

[LIVE] The idea of Europe: more than a feeling?

What can 70 years of news(paper articles) and how we talk about 'Europe' tell us about pan-European identity? Is there even such a thing as a European public sphere?

By: The Sound of Economics Topic: European Macroeconomics & Governance Date: April 16, 2021
Read article More on this topic More by this author
 

Podcast

Podcast

A digital yuan?

China is moving towards a digital currency but there is a long way to go.

By: The Sound of Economics Topic: Global Economics & Governance Date: April 14, 2021
Read article More on this topic More by this author
 

Podcast

Podcast

The future of CAI

Untangling the politics behind the EU – China Comprehensive Agreement on Investment

By: The Sound of Economics Topic: Global Economics & Governance Date: April 7, 2021
Read article More on this topic More by this author
 

Podcast

Podcast

To infinity and beyond: the European space sector and industrial policy

Where does Europe stand in the global race for space?

By: The Sound of Economics Date: March 31, 2021
Read article More on this topic More by this author
 

Podcast

Podcast

Gender gap in financial literacy: a lack of knowledge or confidence?

“If women and girls are fearless, they will benefit by becoming more financially independent, more financially secure, more in control of their future and society will benefit.”

By: The Sound of Economics Topic: European Macroeconomics & Governance Date: March 24, 2021
Read article More on this topic More by this author
 

Podcast

Podcast

Keeping momentum on good governance

Transparency, human rights and good governance: a conversation with Katalin Cseh MEP

By: The Sound of Economics Topic: European Macroeconomics & Governance Date: March 17, 2021
Read article More on this topic More by this author
 

Podcast

Podcast

Low interest rates: a transatlantic phenomenon

Structural factors are putting downward pressure on rates: is it time for macroeconomic policy to play second fiddle in managing demand?

By: The Sound of Economics Topic: European Macroeconomics & Governance Date: March 10, 2021
Read article More on this topic More by this author
 

Podcast

Podcast

Will China fall into the middle/high income trap?

The middle to high-income trap in East Asia and its China dilemma.

By: The Sound of Economics Topic: Global Economics & Governance Date: March 3, 2021
Read article More on this topic More by this author
 

Opinion

A K-shaped recovery and the role of fiscal policy

The spine of the letter represents the fall in activity at the start of the pandemic. Then there is a split, which leads to the two ‘arms’ that capture the different directions taken by economic activity in different sectors.

By: Maria Demertzis Topic: European Macroeconomics & Governance Date: March 2, 2021
Read article More on this topic More by this author
 

Podcast

Podcast

Can central banks save the planet?

“We are not going to lead our society to a low-carbon economy by continuing to finance the status quo. “

By: The Sound of Economics Topic: Energy & Climate Date: February 24, 2021
Read article Download PDF More on this topic
 

Working Paper

COVID-19 credit-support programmes in Europe’s five largest economies

This paper assesses COVID-19 credit-support programmes in five of the largest European economies, and examines how countries have dealt with trade-offs raised by the programmes.

By: Julia Anderson, Francesco Papadia and Nicolas Véron Topic: European Macroeconomics & Governance Date: February 24, 2021
Read article More on this topic More by this author
 

Opinion

La dette : une obsession prématurée

Ce qui est malsain, avec la proposition d’annuler la dette, c’est le déni de réalité consistant à affirmer que l’Etat peut effacer une partie de ses engagements sans que cela ne coûte à personne.

By: Jean Pisani-Ferry Topic: European Macroeconomics & Governance Date: February 22, 2021
Load more posts