Commentary
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Recent commentary
台灣大選的關鍵因素不在經濟，而在兩岸議題
雖然經濟因素在選舉中常是關鍵角色，但在2024台灣大選發揮的作用，並不如想像中的大。無可迴避的關鍵問題，仍在兩岸關係。
香港2024經濟前景：曲折和挑戰重重
2023年香港經濟經歷了周期性回升，但新冠疫情帶來的經濟創傷和外部環境帶來的阻力將繼續挑戰2024年的經濟前景。
中國經濟面臨結構性放緩，亞洲其他經濟體韌性較強
亞洲新興經濟體的崛起將有助於緩和中國的結構性放緩。
中國資本流動情況及影響一覽
中國的淨資本流動和外匯結算表明人民幣將繼續走弱。
中國結構性放緩背後的深層原因有哪些？
中國經濟的快速放緩是結構性因素導致的，不能完全用疫情衝擊來解釋。這是中國的發展模式所帶來的固有問題，因此能夠緩解這種結構性減速的政策極難實施。
Commentary items
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Opinion piece
05 January 2016
Getting eurozone deposit insurance right promises benefits
EU-wide security of savings must be considered in order to take banking union seriously. Banks' holdings of government bonds must be limited.
Guntram B. Wolff
Opinion piece
05 January 2016
Another slow year for the global economy
The factors that dragged down the global economy in 2015 will persist – and in some cases even intensify – in the new year.
Ashoka Mody
Opinion piece
22 December 2015
Indebted ASEAN companies will feel Fed's rate rise
While the markets could not have been surprised about the U.S. Federal Reserve's decision to raise interest rates after a series of warnings since mid
Alicia García-Herrero
Opinion piece
16 December 2015
The growing intergenerational divide in Europe
An aging Europe cannot afford to squander the skills and talents of its youth. With this in mind, addressing the emerging intergenerational divide sho
Guntram B. Wolff and Pia Hüttl
Opinion piece
11 December 2015
Un’altra puntata nella saga dei guai bancari italiani
Dopo una lunga amministrazione controllata, si è raggiunto il momento della risoluzione per quattro piccole banche (Banca Marche, Cassa di risparmio d
Silvia Merler
Opinion piece
25 November 2015
The ECB and politics in an era of low interest rates
The ECB is often criticised for its low interest rate policy - especially in Germany, where this is felt to be an attack on savers. However, this argu
Guntram B. Wolff
Opinion piece
25 November 2015
Europäische Einlagensicherung: Deutschland würde profitieren
Wer ernsthaft die Bankenunion will, kommt um die EU-weite Sicherung der Sparguthaben nicht herum. Es braucht Obergrenzen, wie viele Staatsanleihen Ban
Guntram B. Wolff
Opinion piece
23 November 2015
Helping Ukraine to reform Naftogaz’s gas transmission business
Reform of Ukraine’s gas sector is under threat. The European Bank for Reconstruction and Development should step in.
Georg Zachmann
Opinion piece
30 October 2015
The systemic roots of Russia’s recession
To understand the deep causes behind Russia's recession, we must look at the history of the Russian transition and its partial reversal.
Marek Dabrowski
Opinion piece
27 October 2015
Could Europe’s next growth locomotive be Made in Italy?
Important reforms put in place over the past months, combined with a conjunction of particularly supportive external factors, mean that Italy could in
Alessio Terzi
Opinion piece
20 October 2015
Clueless in Europe
Despite a slowing Chinese economy, decelerating inflation and a stronger euro, European Central Bank President Mario Draghi has said he will do more t
Ashoka Mody
Opinion piece
12 October 2015
Germany is not Volkswagen
The Volkswagen scandal has raised questions about the German model of production. If the success of the company’s diesel-powered vehicles was due in p
Dalia Marin
Opinion piece
01 October 2015
A European approach to climate finance will make a deal at COP21 more likely
Europe needs to convince poor countries that it is serious about a climate deal. To do this it must act jointly and decisively to shape global climate
Georg Zachmann and Guntram B. Wolff
Opinion piece
23 September 2015
No lessons learned
With the drag from austerity, the debt-deflation spiral, and a weak international economy, where does the projected Greek rebound come from?
Ashoka Mody
Opinion piece
18 September 2015
China's woes could derail Abenomics
The Japanese economy is already showing clear signs of renewed weakness.
Alicia García-Herrero
Opinion piece
11 September 2015
Germany’s handling of immigration will shape the future of Europe
Can immigration improve Germany's precarious demographic situation?
Guntram B. Wolff