Commentary
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Recent commentary
台灣大選的關鍵因素不在經濟,而在兩岸議題
雖然經濟因素在選舉中常是關鍵角色,但在2024台灣大選發揮的作用,並不如想像中的大。無可迴避的關鍵問題,仍在兩岸關係。
香港2024經濟前景:曲折和挑戰重重
2023年香港經濟經歷了周期性回升,但新冠疫情帶來的經濟創傷和外部環境帶來的阻力將繼續挑戰2024年的經濟前景。
中國經濟面臨結構性放緩,亞洲其他經濟體韌性較強
亞洲新興經濟體的崛起將有助於緩和中國的結構性放緩。
中國資本流動情況及影響一覽
中國的淨資本流動和外匯結算表明人民幣將繼續走弱。
中國結構性放緩背後的深層原因有哪些?
中國經濟的快速放緩是結構性因素導致的,不能完全用疫情衝擊來解釋。這是中國的發展模式所帶來的固有問題,因此能夠緩解這種結構性減速的政策極難實施。
Commentary items
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Opinion piece
08 May 2015
Digital Single Market: setting the stage
The European Commission's just-released Digital Single Market strategy paper is good news. However, the paper does not spell out how the proposal
Mario Mariniello
Opinion piece
07 May 2015
Why we should not blame the ECB for low returns on German savings
The ECB has lowered its official interest rate several times in the last years and the rate is now at zero. In March of this year, it has in addition
Guntram B. Wolff
Opinion piece
05 May 2015
Europe’s radical banking union
Bruegel scholar Nicolas Véron argues in this thought-provoking essay that banking union ultimately enabled the European Central Bank’s announcement th
Nicolas Véron
Opinion piece
27 April 2015
The IMF's big Greek mistake
The Greek government's mounting financial woes are leading it to contemplate the previously unthinkable: defaulting on a loan from the International M
Ashoka Mody
Opinion piece
07 April 2015
Pessimistic views of China’s economy are unconvincing
In late 2001, I first used the phrase BRIC to discuss the likely rise of Brazil, Russia, India and China as growing shares of the world economy and ou
Jim O‘Neill
Opinion piece
31 March 2015
European banking supervisor should limit banks’ exposure to all eurozone governments, not just Greece
The Single Supervisory Mechanism's decision to impose limits on Greek banks’ holdings of government debt has been criticised for putting und
Guntram B. Wolff
Opinion piece
18 March 2015
European Monetary Union
Guntram Wollf answers the 11 questions submitted by the Commission president to the member states.
Opinion piece
16 March 2015
Making space for China
Jim O‘Neill
Opinion piece
03 March 2015
A new start for Greece
Greece's new government under prime minister Alexis Tsipras – in power for not even two weeks – has had a rollercoaster ride. In the face of crisis, i
Guntram B. Wolff
Opinion piece
11 February 2015
Obama joins the Greek chorus
US President Barack Obama’s recent call to ease the austerity imposed on Greece is remarkable – and not only for his endorsement of the newly elected
Ashoka Mody
Opinion piece
11 February 2015
Two cheers for the new normal
The conventional wisdom about the state of the world economy goes something like this: Since the start of the 2007-2008 financial crisis, the develope
Jim O‘Neill
Opinion piece
02 February 2015
Greece and the euro area need a deal within days, not months
International press informs us that the Greek government believes it has weeks or perhaps months to negotiate a new deal with its creditors. The basic
Guntram B. Wolff
Opinion piece
26 January 2015
Retaking the Greek Test
For about five years now, Greece has been giving the euro area authorities a test in economics and politics. The test must be retaken until the author
Ashoka Mody
Opinion piece
19 January 2015
Die EZB ist verpflichtet, ihr Mandat zu erfüllen
Die Sorgen über die Auswirkungen und die Effektivität des Programms sind groß. Die EZB muss vorsichtig die Kosten und Risiken – vor allem die Umvertei
Guntram B. Wolff and Marcel Fratzscher
Opinion piece
14 January 2015
Sovereign QE and national central banks
Inflation continues to fall. The first outright deflation numbers since 2009 have been recorded and inflation expectations are clearly dis-anchored. I
Guntram B. Wolff
Opinion piece
23 December 2014
Kohl’s Euro
The great challenge today is to undo the legacy of Kohl’s rhetoric. Breaking up the euro is too costly. Thus the task is to weaken the ties that bind
Ashoka Mody