Commentary
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Recent commentary
台灣大選的關鍵因素不在經濟,而在兩岸議題
雖然經濟因素在選舉中常是關鍵角色,但在2024台灣大選發揮的作用,並不如想像中的大。無可迴避的關鍵問題,仍在兩岸關係。
香港2024經濟前景:曲折和挑戰重重
2023年香港經濟經歷了周期性回升,但新冠疫情帶來的經濟創傷和外部環境帶來的阻力將繼續挑戰2024年的經濟前景。
中國經濟面臨結構性放緩,亞洲其他經濟體韌性較強
亞洲新興經濟體的崛起將有助於緩和中國的結構性放緩。
中國資本流動情況及影響一覽
中國的淨資本流動和外匯結算表明人民幣將繼續走弱。
中國結構性放緩背後的深層原因有哪些?
中國經濟的快速放緩是結構性因素導致的,不能完全用疫情衝擊來解釋。這是中國的發展模式所帶來的固有問題,因此能夠緩解這種結構性減速的政策極難實施。
Commentary items
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Opinion piece
05 August 2015
Greece’s debt burden can and must be lightened within the Euro
The current link between debt servicing and membership of the single currency leads to a vicious circle that increases uncertainty, weakens growth and
Guntram B. Wolff and Marcel Fratzscher
Opinion piece
03 August 2015
Europe must wake up before Iran falls into the arms of Russia and China
European leaders seem to have been caught somewhat off-guard by the Iran deal. The Greek saga alone could explain this. The problem is that other comp
Alicia García-Herrero
Opinion piece
22 July 2015
Griechenlands Schuldenlast kann und muss im Euroraum erleichtert werden
Die Verknüpfung von Schuldendienst mit der Mitgliedschaft in der Währungsunion führt zu einem Teufelskreis, der das Wachstum schwächt und damit eine R
Guntram B. Wolff and Marcel Fratzscher
Opinion piece
09 July 2015
Waiting for G-Day
With a final decision on Greece fast approaching, what is the worst-case scenario: bailout or Grexit?
Zsolt Darvas
Opinion piece
04 July 2015
#Greferendum: 3 Questions, 3 Answers
Guntram Wolff replies to three questions in the aftermath of the announced results of the Greek referendum of 5 July 2015.
Guntram B. Wolff
Opinion piece
02 July 2015
What is at stake in the referendum?
The decision by the prime minister to call a referendum leaves the Greek citizens with a stark choice. The core of the question is whether Greek citiz
Guntram B. Wolff
Opinion piece
28 June 2015
#Greferendum
Defying hopes that negotiations could lead to an agreement between Greece and its creditors by the end of the week and ahead of the programme expiring
Silvia Merler
Opinion piece
14 June 2015
David Cameron and the EU’s Waterloo
The United Kingdom, whose new majority Conservative government has pledged to hold a referendum on European Union membership by the end of 2017, perha
Ashoka Mody
Opinion piece
04 June 2015
Priorities for euro area governance reforms
In order to calm fears about weak euro area governance: better fiscal governance and a mechanism to ensure competitiveness despite the absence of
André Sapir and Guntram B. Wolff
Opinion piece
02 June 2015
The emerging world: Debt as key risk
Perhaps the most ostensible of all challenges faced by the global economy is that of pervasive debt levels. For quite some time now, particularly foll
Alicia García-Herrero
Opinion piece
21 May 2015
Giving Greece a chance
This opinion piece by members of the Eiffel Group and the Glienicke Group argues that the Greek tragedy must not go on. Europe’s growing frustration w
Opinion piece
13 May 2015
Speech by Pier Carlo Padoan, Ministry of Economy and Finance, Italy
Speech from Bruegel 10th Anniversary Event, “Europe and Emerging Markets”, held in Rome on 5 May 2015.
Pier Carlo Padoan
Opinion piece
08 May 2015
Digital Single Market: setting the stage
The European Commission's just-released Digital Single Market strategy paper is good news. However, the paper does not spell out how the proposal
Mario Mariniello
Opinion piece
07 May 2015
Why we should not blame the ECB for low returns on German savings
The ECB has lowered its official interest rate several times in the last years and the rate is now at zero. In March of this year, it has in addition
Guntram B. Wolff
Opinion piece
05 May 2015
Europe’s radical banking union
Bruegel scholar Nicolas Véron argues in this thought-provoking essay that banking union ultimately enabled the European Central Bank’s announcement th
Nicolas Véron
Opinion piece
27 April 2015
The IMF's big Greek mistake
The Greek government's mounting financial woes are leading it to contemplate the previously unthinkable: defaulting on a loan from the International M
Ashoka Mody