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台灣大選的關鍵因素不在經濟，而在兩岸議題
雖然經濟因素在選舉中常是關鍵角色，但在2024台灣大選發揮的作用，並不如想像中的大。無可迴避的關鍵問題，仍在兩岸關係。
香港2024經濟前景：曲折和挑戰重重
2023年香港經濟經歷了周期性回升，但新冠疫情帶來的經濟創傷和外部環境帶來的阻力將繼續挑戰2024年的經濟前景。
中國經濟面臨結構性放緩，亞洲其他經濟體韌性較強
亞洲新興經濟體的崛起將有助於緩和中國的結構性放緩。
中國資本流動情況及影響一覽
中國的淨資本流動和外匯結算表明人民幣將繼續走弱。
中國結構性放緩背後的深層原因有哪些？
中國經濟的快速放緩是結構性因素導致的，不能完全用疫情衝擊來解釋。這是中國的發展模式所帶來的固有問題，因此能夠緩解這種結構性減速的政策極難實施。
Commentary items
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Opinion piece
30 May 2017
How the G20 should change its approach to migration and development in Africa
The G20 is redesigning its Africa strategy. Meanwhile, migration from Africa is an increasingly controversial topic in European politics, even though
Guntram B. Wolff and Maria Demertzis
Opinion piece
22 May 2017
Debt relief or a fourth financial assistance programme for Greece?
The Eurogroup faces a difficult choice on Greece — implementing a debt reduction plan drastic enough to make a return to market borrowing possible, or
Zsolt Darvas
Opinion piece
12 May 2017
China's rising leverage is a growing risk
Worries about the growth in China's leverage are on the rise. Is this growth in leverage sustainable? Alicia García-Herrero finds that the evidence is
Alicia García-Herrero
Opinion piece
10 May 2017
Europa sinnvoll gestalten
Die Debatte um die Zukunft Europas sollte gerade in Deutschland konstruktiv geführt werden. Es profitiert von einer stabilen EU und trägt entscheidend
Guntram B. Wolff
Opinion piece
10 May 2017
Is the EastMed gas pipeline just another EU pipe dream?
Is the EastMed pipeline really a feasible project? The answer to this question is not simple, but the EastMed plan sounds unconvincing.
Simone Tagliapietra
Opinion piece
08 May 2017
Brexit will change millions of lives. Our leaders must do more than posture
From the land border with Ireland to expats’ pension rights, there is much to negotiate.
Guntram B. Wolff
Opinion piece
25 April 2017
What are China’s global economic intentions?
At this January's Davos meeting, Chinese President Xi Jinping announced to a surprised audience that China would be the world’s new champion of global
Marek Dabrowski
Opinion piece
16 March 2017
What future for Europe?
The Commission's White Paper on the future of the EU sets out five scenarios, but misses the fundamental questions facing Europe. How should the EU in
Guntram B. Wolff
Opinion piece
16 March 2017
Europe should lead the way with multilateralism
Despite the unique partnership with the USA, Europe needs to reflect on its place in an unstable world. Especially if the US Administration moves towa
Guntram B. Wolff
Opinion piece
06 February 2017
China banks in 2017: No rebound in sight, rising risks for smaller banks
Alicia García-Herrero finds it unlikely that risk in the Chinese banking sector will abate any time soon. And the worries are strongest for smaller i
Alicia García-Herrero
Opinion piece
26 January 2017
Europe needs to react to Trump’s trade agenda – four urgent questions
It seems increasingly likely that President Trump will govern according to the values of his campaign. On trade, this might lead to major disturbances
Guntram B. Wolff
Opinion piece
24 January 2017
CFETS will show which way the Renminbi is heading during the US dollar bull
Currency watchers are sometimes baffled by the role of the CFETS in regulating the relation of RMB to the US Dollar. However, the recent history of CF
Alicia García-Herrero
Opinion piece
05 January 2017
Giving Asia its due in global financial regulation
With US inward turn, China should get a bigger role to bolster system
Nicolas Véron
Opinion piece
04 January 2017
ECB finally addressing Italian bank woes
Italy’s banking problem has been left unaddressed for too long. Similar to Japan in the 1990s, it is best understood as a combination of structural an
Nicolas Véron
Opinion piece
03 January 2017
What will drive political uncertainty in 2017?
2017 promises to be another challenging year for Europe's liberal democracies. Many EU member states are facing elections. But it may be cultural back
Guntram B. Wolff
Opinion piece
08 December 2016
Eurozone QE and bank profitability: Why it is too early to taper
In the eyes of the critics, the quantitative easing programs have been of little help to growth and inflation and have instead been an attack on save
Guntram B. Wolff and Maria Demertzis