Commentary
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Recent commentary
台灣大選的關鍵因素不在經濟,而在兩岸議題
雖然經濟因素在選舉中常是關鍵角色,但在2024台灣大選發揮的作用,並不如想像中的大。無可迴避的關鍵問題,仍在兩岸關係。
香港2024經濟前景:曲折和挑戰重重
2023年香港經濟經歷了周期性回升,但新冠疫情帶來的經濟創傷和外部環境帶來的阻力將繼續挑戰2024年的經濟前景。
中國經濟面臨結構性放緩,亞洲其他經濟體韌性較強
亞洲新興經濟體的崛起將有助於緩和中國的結構性放緩。
中國資本流動情況及影響一覽
中國的淨資本流動和外匯結算表明人民幣將繼續走弱。
中國結構性放緩背後的深層原因有哪些?
中國經濟的快速放緩是結構性因素導致的,不能完全用疫情衝擊來解釋。這是中國的發展模式所帶來的固有問題,因此能夠緩解這種結構性減速的政策極難實施。
Commentary items
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Opinion piece
05 April 2022
War on Ukraine: the day after
The international community will have to restart the long process of de-escalation in order to preserve peace. We have a long climb ahead.
Maria Demertzis
Opinion piece
01 April 2022
Early Warning Brief: China’s contorted response to Russia sanctions
The spectre of a democratic Russia aligned with the West is probably a more serious concern for Beijing than what it risks losing by supporting Russia
Alicia García-Herrero
Opinion piece
25 March 2022
Rallying Chinese markets will not be a quick fix for Beijing
Top official makes rare intervention to reassure investors but progress to resolve problems will be difficult.
Alicia García-Herrero
Opinion piece
16 March 2022
China can see the limits of bailing out Russia's economy
Beijing will support Moscow as long as it does not fall foul of Western sanctions.
Alicia García-Herrero
Opinion piece
14 March 2022
China offers Russia respite but not a solution
Beijing could provide greater assistance to its partner while benefiting from greater energy and military security, but this option is not without ris
Alicia García-Herrero
Opinion piece
14 March 2022
How to wean Europe off Russian gas as swiftly as possible
A trans-Atlantic pact between North America and Europe is essential if Europe is to free itself in the short term from its dependence on Russian energ
Georg Zachmann, Simone Tagliapietra and Morgan Bazilian
Opinion piece
10 March 2022
How Europe can defeat Russia’s divide and rule strategy in the long term
The European Union will have to bolster members most vulnerable to Russian blackmail and rethink the structure of European energy markets in order to
Guntram B. Wolff and Simone Tagliapietra
Opinion piece
08 March 2022
How to reconcile increased green public investment needs with fiscal consolidation
The EU’s ambitious emissions reduction targets will require a major increase in green investments. This column considers options for increasing public
Zsolt Darvas and Guntram B. Wolff
Opinion piece
08 March 2022
The week inflation became entrenched
The events that have unfolded since 24 February have solved one dispute: inflation is no longer temporary.
Maria Demertzis
Opinion piece
01 March 2022
How Europe can sustain Russia sanctions
Russia's war in Ukraine has underscored the need for Europe finally to invest more in its own defence and security. Such an outrageous act of aggressi
Silvia Merler, Francesco Nicoli, Simone Tagliapietra and Ana Palacio
Opinion piece
28 February 2022
China’s economic support for Russia is not a panacea
The EU is still Russia’s largest trading partner, actually several times bigger than China.
Alicia García-Herrero
Opinion piece
25 February 2022
Global chip shortage may soon turn into an oversupply crisis
Only companies investing in advanced semiconductors will see their margins increase.
Alicia García-Herrero
Opinion piece
22 February 2022
The weakness of average inflation targeting
Introducing average over time without defining what this means is counterproductive and current levels of inflation in the US will sooner or later exp
Maria Demertzis
Opinion piece
18 February 2022
Will this be the century of youthful Asia?
Youthful Asia offers immense opportunities for investors, but this potential can only be realised if their infrastructure and energy needs are fulfill
Alicia García-Herrero
Opinion piece
16 February 2022
East-west divergence in central bank action will not last much longer
Fed shift towards raising rates will make it hard for China and Japan not to tighten monetary policy.
Alicia García-Herrero
Opinion piece
11 February 2022
How China’s investment in Middle East is evolving
The share of the Middle East in China’s total overseas investment has declined for several reasons.
Alicia García-Herrero