Commentary
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Recent commentary
台灣大選的關鍵因素不在經濟,而在兩岸議題
雖然經濟因素在選舉中常是關鍵角色,但在2024台灣大選發揮的作用,並不如想像中的大。無可迴避的關鍵問題,仍在兩岸關係。
香港2024經濟前景:曲折和挑戰重重
2023年香港經濟經歷了周期性回升,但新冠疫情帶來的經濟創傷和外部環境帶來的阻力將繼續挑戰2024年的經濟前景。
中國經濟面臨結構性放緩,亞洲其他經濟體韌性較強
亞洲新興經濟體的崛起將有助於緩和中國的結構性放緩。
中國資本流動情況及影響一覽
中國的淨資本流動和外匯結算表明人民幣將繼續走弱。
中國結構性放緩背後的深層原因有哪些?
中國經濟的快速放緩是結構性因素導致的,不能完全用疫情衝擊來解釋。這是中國的發展模式所帶來的固有問題,因此能夠緩解這種結構性減速的政策極難實施。
Commentary items
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Opinion piece
05 July 2022
Is MiCA the end of the crypto wild-west?
As the process of digitalisation makes ideas around decentralised finance more relevant, there will be an increasing need for monitoring
Maria Demertzis
Opinion piece
13 June 2022
Putin’s War and the German Economic Model
Now that a new era of deglobalisation is dawning, Germany will have to think about how it should manage its dependence on international trade.
Dalia Marin
Opinion piece
14 June 2022
Ukraine and what it means for European Union enlargement
The real issue for EU leaders when they discuss Ukraine’s application at a 23-24 June summit and beyond, is what kind of club the EU should be.
Maria Demertzis
Opinion piece
25 May 2022
Xi, Biden switching strategies for dominance
The US now sees Asia more through an economic lens, while China shifts toward a security focus
Alicia García-Herrero
Opinion piece
31 May 2022
Three headaches for the European Central Bank
Once again, the limits of EMU architecture are visible and will require a rethink.
Maria Demertzis
Opinion piece
30 May 2022
Ukraine needs external financial assistance now
Planning Ukraine’s reconstruction tomorrow is important but meeting its financial needs today is more pressing and requires urgent action.
Arancha González Laya, Gabriel Felbermayr, Moritz Schularick, Shahin Vallée and Guntram B. Wolff
Opinion piece
17 May 2022
Buy now, pay later: the age of digital credit
A relatively new fintech market, BNPL is currently not regulated in the EU, meaning that consumers do not have the same protection level as they do fo
Maria Demertzis
Opinion piece
09 May 2022
For Europe, an oil embargo is not the way to go
Even at this late hour, the European Union should consider taking a different path.
Georg Zachmann, Guntram B. Wolff and Simone Tagliapietra
Opinion piece
02 May 2022
A tariff on imports of fossil fuel from Russia
A tariff on imports of Russian fossil fuels would allow Europe to hit Russia's energy sector without great suffering.
Georg Zachmann and Guntram B. Wolff
Opinion piece
02 May 2022
A phase out of Russian oil may be less effective than a tariff at reducing Putin’s rents
A punitive tariff on all energy imports from Russia would be a better choice than a gradually phased-in embargo on selected fuels.
Georg Zachmann, Guntram B. Wolff and Simone Tagliapietra
Opinion piece
29 April 2022
EU risks letting Putin’s gas divide-and-rule strategy win
The 2 May meeting of EU energy ministers should deliver strong and common EU action. Failing to do so would undermine Europe’s unity, energy security
Georg Zachmann, Agata Łoskot-Strachota and Simone Tagliapietra
Opinion piece
29 April 2022
Europe must get serious about cutting oil and gas use
As energy security risks increase, European governments must stop subsidising oil and gas, and ask people to consume less.
Simone Tagliapietra
Opinion piece
26 April 2022
Repurposing the peace dividend
The war in Ukraine has brought an end to a 60-year period in which Europe has enjoyed a peace dividend, an amount released by reducing defence expendi
Maria Demertzis
Opinion piece
26 April 2022
China’s Covid policy to be year’s largest economic shock
Beijing’s ‘dynamic zero-Covid’ policy could devastate the domestic economy, but the effects will also be felt globally.
Alicia García-Herrero
Opinion piece
11 April 2022
Cutting Putin’s energy rent: ‘smart sanctioning’ Russian oil and gas
Three ways Europe could limit Russian oil and gas revenues.
Guntram B. Wolff, Simone Tagliapietra and Axel Ockenfels
Opinion piece
05 April 2022
The EU without Russian oil and gas
The EU and the West need to acknowledge and accept the fact that European liberal democracy is being defended in Ukraine – a clearer message to Putin
Guntram B. Wolff