Commentary
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Recent commentary
台灣大選的關鍵因素不在經濟,而在兩岸議題
雖然經濟因素在選舉中常是關鍵角色,但在2024台灣大選發揮的作用,並不如想像中的大。無可迴避的關鍵問題,仍在兩岸關係。
香港2024經濟前景:曲折和挑戰重重
2023年香港經濟經歷了周期性回升,但新冠疫情帶來的經濟創傷和外部環境帶來的阻力將繼續挑戰2024年的經濟前景。
中國經濟面臨結構性放緩,亞洲其他經濟體韌性較強
亞洲新興經濟體的崛起將有助於緩和中國的結構性放緩。
中國資本流動情況及影響一覽
中國的淨資本流動和外匯結算表明人民幣將繼續走弱。
中國結構性放緩背後的深層原因有哪些?
中國經濟的快速放緩是結構性因素導致的,不能完全用疫情衝擊來解釋。這是中國的發展模式所帶來的固有問題,因此能夠緩解這種結構性減速的政策極難實施。
Commentary items
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Opinion piece
20 March 2018
Europe needs a strong Italy
Europe needs to have its Italian voice. A stable government is required not only to pursue domestic policies and remain fiscally prudent but also to n
Guntram B. Wolff
Opinion piece
12 March 2018
Reading The Tea Leaves on China’s Constitutional Amendments
The recent amendments of the Chinese Constitution have stimulated much attention, focusing on the power consolidation of President Xi. Though the four
Alicia García-Herrero
Opinion piece
08 March 2018
China's “matryoshka” approach for debt-to-equity swaps could be good for banks, but bad for investors
The Chinese banking sector has enhanced its clean-up mechanism by introducing debt-to-equity swaps for the resolution of problem loans. While this all
Alicia García-Herrero and Gary Ng
Opinion piece
01 March 2018
The EU’s Seven-Year Budget Itch
On February 23, EU members began negotiations on the bloc's multiannual financial framework for 2021-2027. But, with all countries focusing on net bal
Jean Pisani-Ferry
Opinion piece
23 February 2018
Beyond border control, migrant integration policies must be revived
Border control and burden-sharing of refugees is just one aspect of immigration policies. Greater financial inclusion and the tailoring of regulations
Zsolt Darvas
Opinion piece
20 February 2018
Portugal in a new context of capital flows
The euro area is now the world’s largest exporter of capital. Here we look at the post-crisis transition of one euro-area country – Portugal – from ne
Inês Goncalves Raposo
Opinion piece
08 February 2018
Climate policies risk increasing social inequality
The aggressive political interventions needed to effectively counteract climate change will make the rich richer and the poor poorer, if social concer
Georg Zachmann
Opinion piece
07 February 2018
US tax reform and implications for the German coalition agreement
Major recent reform of US tax laws represents a serious challenge to Germany, highlighting several weaknesses in the country's economy. The formation
Guntram B. Wolff
Opinion piece
31 January 2018
The International Economic Consequences of Mr. Trump
What has fundamentally changed with the Trump administration is not that it behaves more selfishly than its predecessors, but that it seems unconvince
Jean Pisani-Ferry
Opinion piece
30 January 2018
Your job description, Mr. Centeno
Here’s how you run the Eurogroup.
Guntram B. Wolff
Opinion piece
24 January 2018
The clock is ticking: Ukraine’s last chance to prevent Nord Stream 2
Ukraine is running out of time to provide western gas consumers with the necessary trust to abandon the Nord Stream 2 gas pipeline project.
Georg Zachmann
Opinion piece
16 January 2018
It is safer to rely on what we know, rather than speculate on what may happen
"Does the Conventional Wisdom About Productivity Need To Be Reconsidered?" On a recent collection of opinions, Marek Dabrowski was invited to give his
Marek Dabrowski
Opinion piece
05 January 2018
China Fails to Woo U.S. With Financial Sector Opening
China's recent announcement of reforming its financial market has received little enthusiasm from the U.S. despite its potential benefits. The lack of
Alicia García-Herrero
Opinion piece
30 December 2017
Opportunities and risks in Europe in 2018
The new year could very well see the positive story of 2017 continue in Europe – but a number of looming policy and political problems cannot be ignor
Guntram B. Wolff
Opinion piece
20 December 2017
Chinese banks’ improved asset quality cannot hide other phantoms
The recent improvement in asset quality cannot mask other growing concerns in China’s banking sector. Beyond liquidity concerns, other structural issu
Alicia García-Herrero and Gary Ng
Opinion piece
14 December 2017
South Korea needs to watch the BOJ rather than the Fed
Due its actual economic structure, South Korea should be more worried about BOJ's extremely lax stance than about monetary policy normalization by the
Alicia García-Herrero