Commentary
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Recent commentary
台灣大選的關鍵因素不在經濟,而在兩岸議題
雖然經濟因素在選舉中常是關鍵角色,但在2024台灣大選發揮的作用,並不如想像中的大。無可迴避的關鍵問題,仍在兩岸關係。
香港2024經濟前景:曲折和挑戰重重
2023年香港經濟經歷了周期性回升,但新冠疫情帶來的經濟創傷和外部環境帶來的阻力將繼續挑戰2024年的經濟前景。
中國經濟面臨結構性放緩,亞洲其他經濟體韌性較強
亞洲新興經濟體的崛起將有助於緩和中國的結構性放緩。
中國資本流動情況及影響一覽
中國的淨資本流動和外匯結算表明人民幣將繼續走弱。
中國結構性放緩背後的深層原因有哪些?
中國經濟的快速放緩是結構性因素導致的,不能完全用疫情衝擊來解釋。這是中國的發展模式所帶來的固有問題,因此能夠緩解這種結構性減速的政策極難實施。
Commentary items
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Opinion piece
04 June 2019
Europe’s citizens say they want a more political EU
The recent European Parliament election suggests that a growing share of European voters sees things differently from national governments. Whereas ci
Jean Pisani-Ferry
Opinion piece
28 May 2019
L’euro sans l’Europe : un projet incohérent
Jean Pisani-Ferry constate que tous les grands partis ne remettent plus en cause l’euro. Il souligne néanmoins que trois vulnérabilités – économique,
Jean Pisani-Ferry
Opinion piece
28 May 2019
Expect a U-shape for China’s current account
As the US aims to reduce it's bilateral trade deficit, China's current-account surplus is back in the headlines. However, in reality China’s current-a
Alicia García-Herrero
Opinion piece
28 May 2019
ΕΥΡΩΕΚΛΟΓΕΣ ΚΑΙ ΤΟ ΜΕΛΛΟΝ ΤΗΣ ΕΥΡΩΠΗΣ
Είναι γεγονός ότι οι τωρινές εκλογές λόγω της ανάπτυξης των κομμάτων του λαϊκισμού είναι κάπως διαφορετικές από τις προηγούμενες. Αλλά πιστεύω ότι όλε
Maria Demertzis
Opinion piece
13 May 2019
Will China’s trade war with the US end like that of Japan in the 1980s?
The outcome of the US-China trade war is anticipated to be quite different from the experience of Japan in the 1980s and 1990s, due to China’s relativ
Alicia García-Herrero and Kohei Iwahara
Opinion piece
09 May 2019
Trade war: Is the U.S. panicking due to China's big hedge?
U.S.-China trade war has suddenly taken centre stage following Donald Trump’s unexpected announcement to ramp up tariffs if no deal is reached. U.S. i
Alicia García-Herrero
Opinion piece
01 May 2019
When facts change, change the pact
“When facts change, I change my mind,” John Maynard Keynes famously said. With long-term interest rates currently near zero, the European Union should
Jean Pisani-Ferry
Opinion piece
25 April 2019
Life after the multilateral trading system
Considering a world absent a multilateral trading system is not to promote such an outcome, but to encourage all to prepare for the worst and instil g
Guntram B. Wolff and Uri Dadush
Opinion piece
23 April 2019
What else China can do to support growth in the short term
Recent data shows the downward spiral in the Chinese economy has somewhat eased on a cyclical basis, but it is still too early to cheer for a full sta
Alicia García-Herrero
Opinion piece
04 April 2019
ICT revolution key to populist political surge
Developments in digital technology have prompted a ‘tabloidisation’ of traditional media, created opportunities for the misuse of information online,
Marek Dabrowski
Opinion piece
04 April 2019
Can the emerging economic powers govern the globe?
Can a G7 dominated by developing nations provide the impulse to global governance as did the old G7? The answer is no.
Uri Dadush
Opinion piece
03 April 2019
Europe and the new imperialism
For decades, Europe has served as a steward of the post-war liberal order, ensuring that economic rules are enforced and that national ambitions are s
Jean Pisani-Ferry
Opinion piece
29 March 2019
Brexit: When in doubt, slow down
Uncertainty over Brexit remains high despite looming deadlines. Here, the authors argue that the UK should take the necessary steps to make time to bu
Maria Demertzis and Nicola Viegi
Opinion piece
27 March 2019
Takeaways from Xi Jinping’s visit to France and Italy and ideas for the EU-China summit
The author appraises China's strategy towards Europe ahead of next month's EU-China summit.
Alicia García-Herrero
Opinion piece
21 March 2019
Sticks and carrots from China’s leadership to Chinese banks
The takeaway from the 13th National People's Congress (NPC) is clear: under the current economic downturn, Chinese authorities will do whatever it tak
Alicia García-Herrero and Gary Ng
Opinion piece
19 March 2019
China’s debt is still piling up – and the pile-up is getting faster
With looser monetary policy, China's policymakers hope to encourage banks to lend more to the private sector. This seems to imply a change from the de
Alicia García-Herrero