Commentary
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Recent commentary
台灣大選的關鍵因素不在經濟，而在兩岸議題
雖然經濟因素在選舉中常是關鍵角色，但在2024台灣大選發揮的作用，並不如想像中的大。無可迴避的關鍵問題，仍在兩岸關係。
香港2024經濟前景：曲折和挑戰重重
2023年香港經濟經歷了周期性回升，但新冠疫情帶來的經濟創傷和外部環境帶來的阻力將繼續挑戰2024年的經濟前景。
中國經濟面臨結構性放緩，亞洲其他經濟體韌性較強
亞洲新興經濟體的崛起將有助於緩和中國的結構性放緩。
中國資本流動情況及影響一覽
中國的淨資本流動和外匯結算表明人民幣將繼續走弱。
中國結構性放緩背後的深層原因有哪些？
中國經濟的快速放緩是結構性因素導致的，不能完全用疫情衝擊來解釋。這是中國的發展模式所帶來的固有問題，因此能夠緩解這種結構性減速的政策極難實施。
Commentary items
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Opinion piece
03 February 2016
A new way to approach Europe’s gas security, beyond the usual Russian obsession
Instead of doing everything to reduce gas supplies from key suppliers, gas supply security could more effectively be safeguarded by ensuring that unus
Simone Tagliapietra
Opinion piece
02 February 2016
The economic consequences of Schengen
The president of the European Commission, Jean-Claude Juncker, recently warned that “without Schengen and the free movement of workers, of citizens, t
Guntram B. Wolff
Opinion piece
30 January 2016
The market's troubling message
Amid one of the worst market routs on record, a chorus of reassuring economic commentators insists that global fundamentals are sound and investors ar
Ashoka Mody
Opinion piece
29 January 2016
The fallout from the European refugee crisis
Of the 1.5 million refugees that reached the European Union last year, more than 1 million ended up in Germany, but the initially welcoming atmosphere
Guntram B. Wolff
Opinion piece
21 January 2016
China is running out of options as foreign reserves drop
The Chinese are watching a new storm unfold in their financial markets, only months after having been bombarded with news about China’s “historical vi
Alicia García-Herrero
Opinion piece
14 January 2016
Greece: a European tragedy
Wrapped up in the details of pension reforms and home foreclosure—matters that, no doubt, have important consequences for many— the big picture has fa
Ashoka Mody
Opinion piece
13 January 2016
Delays and half measures
Are the eurozone’s continuing woes the result of its incomplete construction or because of policy errors in responding to the crisis?
Ashoka Mody
Opinion piece
11 January 2016
The EU must confront the populist challenge in 2016
In France, the US and elsewhere, populist parties are growing in popularity. Such parties radically challenge the consensus of traditional parties an
Guntram B. Wolff
Opinion piece
05 January 2016
Getting eurozone deposit insurance right promises benefits
EU-wide security of savings must be considered in order to take banking union seriously. Banks' holdings of government bonds must be limited.
Guntram B. Wolff
Opinion piece
05 January 2016
Another slow year for the global economy
The factors that dragged down the global economy in 2015 will persist – and in some cases even intensify – in the new year.
Ashoka Mody
Opinion piece
22 December 2015
Indebted ASEAN companies will feel Fed's rate rise
While the markets could not have been surprised about the U.S. Federal Reserve's decision to raise interest rates after a series of warnings since mid
Alicia García-Herrero
Opinion piece
16 December 2015
The growing intergenerational divide in Europe
An aging Europe cannot afford to squander the skills and talents of its youth. With this in mind, addressing the emerging intergenerational divide sho
Guntram B. Wolff and Pia Hüttl
Opinion piece
11 December 2015
Un’altra puntata nella saga dei guai bancari italiani
Dopo una lunga amministrazione controllata, si è raggiunto il momento della risoluzione per quattro piccole banche (Banca Marche, Cassa di risparmio d
Silvia Merler
Opinion piece
25 November 2015
The ECB and politics in an era of low interest rates
The ECB is often criticised for its low interest rate policy - especially in Germany, where this is felt to be an attack on savers. However, this argu
Guntram B. Wolff
Opinion piece
25 November 2015
Europäische Einlagensicherung: Deutschland würde profitieren
Wer ernsthaft die Bankenunion will, kommt um die EU-weite Sicherung der Sparguthaben nicht herum. Es braucht Obergrenzen, wie viele Staatsanleihen Ban
Guntram B. Wolff
Opinion piece
23 November 2015
Helping Ukraine to reform Naftogaz’s gas transmission business
Reform of Ukraine’s gas sector is under threat. The European Bank for Reconstruction and Development should step in.
Georg Zachmann