Global economy and trade

Income inequality hardly changed during the COVID-19 pandemic

Contrary to expectations, there was no widespread increase in either within-country or global income inequality during the pandemic

Asia 2024 Outlook

China’s third attempt to internationalise its currency

What will happen if China manages to strengthen the RMB?

Global Supply Chain Resilience: Facts and Implications

US and UK strikes in Yemen: implications for global energy markets

While trade disruptions arising from the conflict in the Red Sea are so far minimal, a further regional escalation could impact global energy prices.

Taiwan’s future economic direction hinges on the election outcome

Depending who wins Taiwan’s 13 January election, the island could swing towards closer relations with China, or entrench decoupling from China.

Taiwan's election will mark an economic crossroads

Growth is rebounding, but island must decide whether to deepen links with China.

Potential Geoeconomic and Geopolitical Consequences of an Expanded BRICS

2024 will be about Western economic normalisation, China’s deceleration and India’s catch-up

China will continue to decelerate slowly but steadily while the rest of emerging Asia will do well.

EU-China summit remains a ‘dialogue of the deaf’ for EU trade concerns

Taiwan poised for economic bounceback in 2024

Growth should more than double from 1.2% to 2.9% so long as geopolitical risks including pivotal elections don’t bubble over

Expectations and outcomes of the 24th EU-China summit

Was the Summit another ‘dialogue of the deaf’?

Foreseeing world economy chokepoints in 2024

A rather positive scenario is subject to several risks, starting from geopolitics

Against the odds, China’s push to internationalise its currency is making gains

Geopolitical concerns help support the use of the renminbi despite weak foreign investment trends

'Green tech partnership' offers way to de-risk while decarbonizing

Dependence on China carries supply risks beyond just geopolitics

Why the European Union-China summit is bound to disappoint

The European Union is increasingly disappointed with China over trade.