Commentary
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Recent commentary
台灣大選的關鍵因素不在經濟，而在兩岸議題
雖然經濟因素在選舉中常是關鍵角色，但在2024台灣大選發揮的作用，並不如想像中的大。無可迴避的關鍵問題，仍在兩岸關係。
香港2024經濟前景：曲折和挑戰重重
2023年香港經濟經歷了周期性回升，但新冠疫情帶來的經濟創傷和外部環境帶來的阻力將繼續挑戰2024年的經濟前景。
中國經濟面臨結構性放緩，亞洲其他經濟體韌性較強
亞洲新興經濟體的崛起將有助於緩和中國的結構性放緩。
中國資本流動情況及影響一覽
中國的淨資本流動和外匯結算表明人民幣將繼續走弱。
中國結構性放緩背後的深層原因有哪些？
中國經濟的快速放緩是結構性因素導致的，不能完全用疫情衝擊來解釋。這是中國的發展模式所帶來的固有問題，因此能夠緩解這種結構性減速的政策極難實施。
Commentary items
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Opinion piece
04 December 2014
Emerging markets mock the pessimists
Remember this time last year, when it was fashionable to predict that 2014 would be a pretty bad year for emerging markets? Didn't really happen
Jim O‘Neill
Opinion piece
25 November 2014
France and Germany: a moment of truth
France and Germany, which together account for half of euro-area GDP, are rightly considered the key to the euro area’s exit from the current impasse
Agnès Bénassy-Quéré and Guntram B. Wolff
Opinion piece
25 November 2014
“Unanimous” is the new black
As it was largely anticipated, no new measures were announced Thursday at the ECB meeting. But sometimes words can be as important as facts.
Silvia Merler
Opinion piece
25 November 2014
Lessons from the Bank of Japan for the euro area
It was feared that after the consumption tax hike, the inflation expectations would be dampened too much and the Bank of Japan would miss its target.
Guntram B. Wolff
Opinion piece
02 November 2014
Pulling the eurozone back from the brink
In the coming months, the ECJ will assess the German Constitutional Court’s ruling that the European Central Bank’s “outright monetary trans
Ashoka Mody
Opinion piece
02 November 2014
Europe has wasted a good crisis
The folklore has been that European integration proceeds by “falling forward.” In a crisis, when Europe stumbles, it gets up to move forward. A setbac
Ashoka Mody
Opinion piece
31 October 2014
Held og lykke, Commissioner Vestager
Tomorrow, new European Commissioner Margrethe Vestager will take control of the Commission’s most powerful tool: the enforcement of European Union com
Mario Mariniello
Opinion piece
29 October 2014
Making Argentina's Debt Debacle a Rarity
The epic battle between Argentina and a group of U.S. hedge funds illustrates a fundamental flaw in the sovereign bond market: There's no orderly, wel
Ashoka Mody
Opinion piece
29 October 2014
Crowdfunding: Broadening Europe’s capital markets
The rising financing gap for SMEs as well as high growth firms is a serious concern for Europe battered by financial fragility. These firms, particula
Karen Wilson
Opinion piece
25 October 2014
The global economy’s Groundhog Day
Policymakers remain convinced that the economic-growth model that prevailed during the pre-crisis years is still their best guide, at least in the nea
Ashoka Mody
Opinion piece
24 October 2014
Europe's fiscal wormhole
The fulfillment of policy rules appears to be impossible without growth, but growth appears to be impossible without breaking the rules.
Guntram B. Wolff
Opinion piece
16 October 2014
China gingerly taking the capital account liberalisation path
Since China is the number one trading nation, the second largest economy and a large net creditor, the world has a huge stake in how China manages its
Guonan Ma
Opinion piece
15 October 2014
In defense of OMT ahead of Karlsruhe
Next week, the German constitutional court will debate and consider the legality of the European Stability Mechanism (ESM) and the ECB’s Outright Mone
Guntram B. Wolff
Opinion piece
15 October 2014
The German Court does Europe a favour
The German Constitutional Court has been widely criticized for questioning the legality of the European Central Bank’s OMT program. To supporters
Ashoka Mody
Opinion piece
14 October 2014
The IMF’s false confession
Lagarde's apology for the IMF’s poor forecasting of the United Kingdom’s recent economic performance - and, more seriously, for the Fund’s longer
Ashoka Mody
Opinion piece
10 October 2014
“It’s true, Italy breaks your heart.”
The brash, 39-year old, Matteo Renzi is Italy’s third unelected Prime Minister since November 2011. Mario Monti lasted 18 months, and his successor, E
Ashoka Mody