Samantha Ajovalasit
Featured work
How much of a threat to US debt sustainability is Trump’s One Big Beautiful Bill Act?
The US should start fiscal adjustment as soon as it can if it wants to head off the risk of exploding debt related to Trump’s tax and spending plan
Are bad governments a threat to sovereign defaults? The effects of political risk on debt sustainability
In this paper, we ask whether the level of political risk in a country threatens its debt sustainability
Incorporating political risk into analysis of sovereign debt sustainability
Political risk is not taken into account when assessing whether countries can manage their debts, but it could be and should be
All work
Analysis
22 September 2025
How much of a threat to US debt sustainability is Trump’s One Big Beautiful Bill Act?
The US should start fiscal adjustment as soon as it can if it wants to head off the risk of exploding debt related to Trump’s tax and spending plan
Working paper
21 January 2025
Are bad governments a threat to sovereign defaults? The effects of political risk on debt sustainability
In this paper, we ask whether the level of political risk in a country threatens its debt sustainability
Analysis
16 December 2024
Incorporating political risk into analysis of sovereign debt sustainability
Political risk is not taken into account when assessing whether countries can manage their debts, but it could be and should be