Past Event

International Cooperation in Times of Global Crisis: Views from G20 countries

A high-level economic conference on the key current global financial and economic policy challenges, bringing together academics and policymakers from most G20 countries to identify policy implications for Europe, Asia and the Americas, and action lines for G20. Event summary here Session 1: A lost decade? The global economy is facing more difficult challenges than […]

Date: Oct 18 - Topic: Global economy and trade

A high-level economic conference on the key current global financial and economic policy challenges, bringing together academics and policymakers from most G20 countries to identify policy implications for Europe, Asia and the Americas, and action lines for G20.

Event summary here

Session 1: A lost decade?

The global economy is facing more difficult challenges than what was earlier contemplated. A new pattern of current accounts is emerging, with the US deficit stabilizing while the Chinese surplus is declining and new surpluses are being accumulated by oil producers. At the same time advanced countries are experiencing protracted public and private sector deleveraging while emerging economies are having difficulties compensating the loss of external demand. What can G20 members do to steer economy towards balanced recovery?

Chair

Jean Pisani-Ferry, Director, Bruegel

Speakers

  • Jörg Decressin, Deputy Director, Research Department, IMF here
  • Alexei Moiseev, Deputy Finance Minister, Russia- presentation here
  • Luiz Awazu Pereira da Silva, Deputy Governor, Banco Central do Brazil here
  • Jun Saito, Special Advisor, Cabinet Office, Japan- presentation here

Session 2: How many international lenders of last resort?

The Asian crisis of 1997, the global crisis of 2008 and the Eurozone crisis of 2010 have all revived the question of the adequate schemes for international liquidity provision. Since 2008, the Federal Reserve has played a crucial role in providing liquidity in dollars. In the case of the Eurozone, it was clear from the onset that the IMF resources were not large enough and could only supplement a regional scheme. Whether the resulting combination of the regional and the multilateral level will be resilient to shocks and surprises is still uncertain. Thus the questions remain: is there a need to ex-ante combine the different tools of international liquidity provision in times of crisis, and if so, how to efficiently proceed? How the G20 can help build the process?

Chair

Agnès Bénassy-Quéré, Professor, Paris School of Economics

Speakers

  • Eduardo Fernández-Arias Senior Advisor, Inter-American Development Bank – presentation here
  • Barry Ickes, Acting Head, Department of Economics, Pennsylvania State University
  • Francesco Papadia, Non Resident Scholar, Bruegel – presentation here
  • Oleg Vyugin, Chairman, Board of Directors, MDM Bank
  • Beatrice Weder di Mauro, Professor, Johannes-Gutenberg-University of Mainz – presentation here

Session 3: From debt to equity: the changing patterns of international financing

The theoretical neutrality of the financing mode (equity or debt) has repeatedly been put into question by the financial crisis of the past 20 years. Debt crises are indeed considered as more harmful than crashes in stock prices, although the two can easily be combined. In parallel, new needs for equity financing arise, in particular those related to climate change, while new capital requirements are disincentivizing banks and insurance funds to hold equity.

Chair

David Vines, Professor, Oxford University

Speakers

  • Martin Gilman, Director, Centre for Advanced Studies, Higher School of Economics
  • Eduardo Levy-Yeyati, Professor, Universidad Torcuato Di Tella, and Senior Fellow, Brookings Institution – presentation here
  • Andres Sutt, Senior Adviser to the CEO, European Financial Stability Facility – presentation here
  • Lúcio Vinhas de Souza, Managing Director and Sovereign Chief Economist, Moody’s Investors Service
  • Chang-Hyun Yun, President, Korea Institute of Finance- presentation here

Session 4: Energy and natural resources in a globalised economy

Oil and natural gas production in non-OECD countries has reached a new record in 2011 and the Brent oil price is constantly above $100. Consequently, fossil fuel bills of OECD countries and fossil fuel rents of non-OECD countries remain huge causing significant financial flows and current account imbalances. At the same time, major importers such as the European Union, the US and China have started to diversity their consumption towards renewable energy sources and/or domestic natural gas. This has the potential to strongly affect some exporter countries external position over the medium to long term – and might even affect their investment decisions today. Against the background of these politically induced changes in the global energy supply structure some form of energy policy coordination might be necessary. Otherwise, discretionary national energy policy decisions might put at risk business investment decisions in other countries, ultimately harming global energy supply. We want to discuss how the G20 could contribute to the proper outline of such a framework? In the end, is it a matter of cooperation or competition between countries?

Chair

Sergei Guriev, Rector, New Economic School

Speakers

  • Rabah Arezki, Economist, IMF
  • Vladimir Drebentsov, Vice-President and Chief Economist, BP Russia – presentation here
  • Louis Skyner, Leading Legal Counsel, Statoil Russia
  • Christof van Agt, Senior Researcher, Clingendael International Energy Programme – presentation here

Session 5: Can the G-20 escape diminishing returns?

The G20 had a very strong start but its effectiveness has been constantly declining since the 2009 London summit. Considerable effort was invested in macroeconomic discussion but little was delivered in the end. Ambitious plans for reforming global financial safety nets or the international monetary system did not result in meaningful achievements. More was done in the field of financial regulation though this was actually more the result of work done at the FSB than the effect of G-20 decisions. At the same time, problems that emerged in G20 governance have not been solved and this hinders both its legitimacy and its effectiveness.

Chair

Ignazio Angeloni, Director General, Financial Stability, ECB and coordinator and contributor, G20 monitor

Speakers

  • Thomas Bernes, Distinguished Fellow, CIGI
  • Sergei Karaganov, Dean, Faculty of World Economy and International Affairs, Higher School of Economics
  • Homi Kharas, Senior Fellow and Deputy Director, Global Economy and Development Program, Brooking Institution
  • John Kirton, Co-founder and Director of G8 Research Group, University of Toronto – presentation here and written remarks here
  • Mark Thirlwell, Acting Director, G20 Studies Centre, Lowy Institute for International Policy

Keynote speech

Pier Carlo Padoan, Chief Economist and Deputy Secretary-General,OECD – speech here

Session 6: A global level playing field?

While trade liberalisation on a multilateral scale has been in a standstill for more than ten years, the process of global integration has continued thanks to bilateral and regional initiatives and the gradual approximation of regulations. Product standards, financial reporting standards, competition rules are today much more harmonised de facto than they were ten years ago. Yet important differences remain, which occasionally create tensions, and there is no strong multilateral framework to ensure that commitments taken on at national level are lasting. What has been achieved? Can the world economy continue with this loose framework?

Chair

Natalya Volchkova, Policy Director at the Center for Economic and Financial Research, New Economic School

Speakers

  • Martyn Davies, Chief Executive Officer, Frontier Advisory, Johannesburg
  • Lionel Fontagné, Professor, Université Paris 1 Panthéon-Sorbonne and Paris School of Economics- presentation here
  • Arancha González Laya, Chief of Staff, Office of the Director‐General, WTO and G20 Sherpa, WTO
  • Matthew Goodman, William E. Simon Chair in Political Economy, Center for Strategic and International Studies
  • Onur Sazak, Research and Academic Affairs Manager, Istanbul Policy Center- presentation here

Conference organised by Bruegel, Brussels, CEPII, Paris, Higher School of Economics, Moscow and New Economic School, Moscow.

Practical details

  • Venue: Higher School of Economics, Moscow
  • Dates: 18-19 October 2012
  • Contact: [email protected]

Video

<iframe src="http://www.youtube.com/embed/jlAiIEwXc3E" frameborder="0" height="315" width="480"></iframe>

Photos

Read about event
 

Past Event

Past Event

Three data realms: Managing the divergence between the EU, the US and China in the digital sphere

Major economies are addressing the challenges brought by digital trade in different ways, resulting in diverging regulatory regimes. How should we view these divergences and best deal with them?

Speakers: Susan Ariel Aaronson, Henry Gao, Esa Kaunistola and Niclas Poitiers Topic: Digital economy and innovation, Global economy and trade Location: Bruegel, Rue de la Charité 33, 1210 Brussels Date: May 19, 2022
Read about event More on this topic
 

Past Event

Past Event

Is China’s private sector advancing or retreating?

A look into the Chinese private sector.

Speakers: Reinhard Bütikofer, Nicolas Véron and Alicia García-Herrero Topic: Global economy and trade Location: Bruegel, Rue de la Charité 33, 1210 Brussels Date: May 18, 2022
Read article
 

Blog Post

The EU needs transparent oil data and enhanced coordination

The EU lacks the coordination structure and transparent data necessary to most effectively navigate an embargo on Russian oil.

By: Agata Łoskot-Strachota, Ben McWilliams and Georg Zachmann Topic: Global economy and trade, Green economy Date: May 16, 2022
Read article
 

Blog Post

Now is not the time to confiscate Russia’s central bank reserves

The idea of confiscating the Bank of Russia’s frozen reserves is attractive to some, but at this stage in the Ukraine conflict confiscation would be counterproductive and likely illegal.

By: Joshua Kirschenbaum and Nicolas Véron Topic: Banking and capital markets, Global economy and trade Date: May 16, 2022
Read about event More on this topic
 

Upcoming Event

Jun
23
14:00

BRI 2.0: How has the pandemic influenced China’s landmark Belt and Road Initiative?

China's Belt and Road Initiative is undergoing a transformation after two years of pandemic. How is it changing and what are the consequences for Europe.

Speakers: Alessia Amighini, Eyck Freymann, Alicia García-Herrero and Zhang Xiaotong Topic: Global economy and trade Location: Bruegel, Rue de la Charité 33, 1210 Brussels
Read article More on this topic More by this author
 

Podcast

Podcast

The cost of China's dynamic zero-COVID policy

What does zero-COVID mean for both China and the global economy?

By: The Sound of Economics Topic: Global economy and trade Date: May 11, 2022
Read article More on this topic
 

Opinion

For Europe, an oil embargo is not the way to go

Even at this late hour, the European Union should consider taking a different path.

By: Simone Tagliapietra, Guntram B. Wolff and Georg Zachmann Topic: Global economy and trade Date: May 9, 2022
Read article Download PDF More by this author
 

Book/Special report

European governanceInclusive growth

Bruegel annual report 2021

The Bruegel annual report provides a broad overview of the organisation's work in the previous year.

By: Bruegel Topic: Banking and capital markets, Digital economy and innovation, European governance, Global economy and trade, Green economy, Inclusive growth, Macroeconomic policy Date: May 6, 2022
Read article
 

External Publication

The Global Quest for Green Growth: An Economic Policy Perspective

A review on green growth and degrowth arguments.

By: Klaas Lenaerts, Simone Tagliapietra and Guntram B. Wolff Topic: Global economy and trade, Green economy Date: May 5, 2022
Read article More on this topic More by this author
 

Podcast

Podcast

Global trade Down Under

A conversation on the global trading landscape.

By: The Sound of Economics Topic: Global economy and trade Date: May 4, 2022
Read article More on this topic
 

Opinion

A tariff on imports of fossil fuel from Russia

A tariff on imports of Russian fossil fuels would allow Europe to hit Russia's energy sector without great suffering.

By: Guntram B. Wolff and Georg Zachmann Topic: Global economy and trade Date: May 2, 2022
Read article More on this topic
 

External Publication

How to weaken Russian oil and gas strength

Letter published in Science.

By: Ricardo Hausmann, Agata Łoskot-Strachota, Axel Ockenfels, Ulrich Schetter, Simone Tagliapietra, Guntram B. Wolff and Georg Zachmann Topic: Global economy and trade Date: May 2, 2022
Load more posts