United states

Has the global minimum tax survived Trump?

US objections have not killed off the 15 percent global minimum tax, but they have altered it and given the US a competitive advantage

Why US designs on Greenland will ultimately end in compromise

Annexation of Greenland by the United States is unrealistic for numerous reasons

Three ‘don’ts’ to protect Greenland from Trump

When confronting the Greenland crisis, the EU should apply lessons learned from the lopsided US-EU trade negotiations

Greenland is not marginal: the US takeover threat is a strategic test for Europe

European powers should provide backing for Nuuk and Copenhagen by establishing a greater military presence in Greenland

Venezuela: the upending of values and another warning to Europe

Trump's brazen attack on Venezuela presents challenges for China – and opportunities

From strategy to doctrine: the next steps for European economic security

The EU needs a balanced strategy to cut reliance on the US and China while improving its capacity to counter coercive economic threats

Ukraine talks: peace progress or dead end?

How should the EU manage negotiations with Ukraine, the US and Russia?

Understanding US foreign military sales globally since 2008: an analysis of a new dataset

The paper presents a new dataset of all US Foreign Military Sales since 2008 and analyses global trends in volumes and equipment types

What can Europe learn from China’s critical-tech innovation push?

China’s rise in frontier technologies narrows its gap with the US as Europe struggles with slow replication and fragmented research

The Trump–Xi summit: less a deal, more an uneasy truce

The meeting of the US and Chinese presidents in South Korea resulted in a pragmatic but precarious agreement

Tariffs, deals and multilateral ideals: can the World Trade Organization survive?

The Trump administration’s trade policy accelerates the WTO’s decline and challenges global trade governance

How can Europe stress test its reliance on US military exports?

Europe’s dependence on US foreign military sales and what to do about it

Europe’s reliance on US arms raises autonomy concerns, as security worsens and leaders aim to cut strategic and technological dependence

How can Europe hold its own in a multipolar world?

How much of a threat to US debt sustainability is Trump’s One Big Beautiful Bill Act?

The US should start fiscal adjustment as soon as it can if it wants to head off the risk of exploding debt related to Trump’s tax and spending plan

Geopolitical shifts and their economic impacts on Europe: Short-term risks, medium-term scenarios and policy choices