Ukraine

European Union grain imports from Ukraine: the right decision and a cynical rebellion

The European Commission was right to let restrictive measures on Ukrainian grain lapse, but the decision has had negative side-effects.

The Russian war economy: macroeconomic performance

The Russian economy has performed better than many expected since the war in Ukraine started, though the financial burden will be felt for some time.

How Ukrainian gas storage can contribute to Europe’s security of supply

To top up stored gas volumes for the coming winter, Europe can use spare capacity in Ukraine.

The Ukrainian war economy

This paper analyses Ukraine’s war economy management and performance, according to information available in June 2023.

Between a rock and a hard place: the EU response to national import bans on Ukrainian grain

The European Commission had to choose between imperfect alternatives because of frontline state backlash against massive Ukrainian grain imports.

European public opinion remains supportive of Ukraine

Public support for Ukraine is holding up in allied countries, but preparations should be made for scenarios in which support ebbs away.

Bank of Russia’s immobilised assets: what happens next?

Sanctions against Russia will worsen its already poor economic prospects

Sanctions, coming on top of longstanding domestic shortcomings, are gradually weakening Russia.

How much will the EU pay Russia for fossil fuels over the next 12 months?

With sanctions incomplete, the European Union could pay Russia about €30 billion for fossil fuels in the next year.

The impact of the Ukraine crisis on international trade

The direct aim of trade sanctions seems to have been achieved, while Russia’s capacity to finance the war from fossil fuel revenues is bound to shrink

Will the European Union price cap on Russian oil work?

The G7 Russian oil price cap is an ambitious but untested instrument. While pitfalls exist, the cap has the potential to be the most potent sanction.

Will Ukraine’s refugees go home?

The way to help Ukraine will be to assist in reconstruction and not place artificial impediments to immigration of those who have already suffered.

Will Ukraine’s refugees return?

Will many that have fled Ukraine return, or will families eventually be reunited abroad?