External Publication

Does money matter in the euro area? Evidence from a new Divisia index

Zsolt Darvas created a a dataset on euro-area Divisia-money aggregates. In this paper, Zsolt estimates theoretically correct responses to money, user cost and interest rate shocks using structural vector-autoregressions. 

By: Date: June 17, 2015 Topic: Macroeconomic policy

Zsolt Darvas created a a dataset on euro-area Divisia-money aggregates. In this paper, Zsolt estimates theoretically correct responses to money, user cost and interest rate shocks using structural vector-autoregressions. The findings suggest that money matters for output, prices and interest rates, while the European Central Bank can influence monetary developments.

Highlights

• VARs reveal significant euro-area output and prices responses to Divisia-money shocks.

• After a short-term liquidity effect, Divisia-money shocks increase interest rates.

• Divisia-money reacts to user costs and interest rates shocks.

• Most of these results are not significant when we use simple-sum measures of money.

Click here to access this publication.

Read about event More on this topic
 

Past Event

Past Event

Presentation of the Euro Yearbook 2021

Join us for the launch of the eighth edition of the 'Euro Yearbook'

Speakers: Maria Demertzis, Fernando Fernández, Fiona Maharg-Bravo, Antonio Roldán and Jorge Yzaguirre Topic: Macroeconomic policy Date: March 12, 2021
Read about event
 

Past Event

Past Event

Disruption or transformation: the impact of a digital euro on the financial system

How would a digital Euro impact the financial system?

Speakers: Fabio Panetta and Guntram B. Wolff Topic: Banking and capital markets, Macroeconomic policy Location: Bruegel, Rue de la Charité 33, 1210 Brussels Date: February 10, 2021
Read article More on this topic More by this author
 

Podcast

Podcast

The geopolitics of money

The current debate on currencies is driven by politics rather than economics.

By: The Sound of Economics Topic: Global economy and trade Date: December 9, 2020
Read article Download PDF More by this author
 

Parliamentary Testimony

European Parliament

Euro area accession countries in the context of the pandemic

Testimony before the European Parliament on the subject of euro area accession.

By: Zsolt Darvas Topic: European Parliament, Macroeconomic policy, Testimonies Date: November 19, 2020
Read article More on this topic
 

Opinion

Politics, not economics, demands a strengthened international role for the euro

Not just the EU but also other countries, particularly China, need a defence against weaponisation of the dollar.

By: Alicia García-Herrero and Federico Steinberg Topic: Macroeconomic policy Date: October 28, 2020
Read article More on this topic
 

Blog Post

For the euro there is no shortcut to becoming a dominant currency

As an international currency, the euro has always been a distant second to the dollar. The idea of a greater international role for the euro has been floated, but without major institutional reform, the euro will not become a dominant currency.

By: Grégory Claeys and Guntram B. Wolff Topic: Global economy and trade Date: October 13, 2020
Read article Download PDF More by this author
 

Parliamentary Testimony

European Parliament

Strengthening the international role of the euro

Testimony before the European Parliament on the International Role of the Euro.

By: Guntram B. Wolff Topic: European Parliament, Testimonies Date: October 1, 2020
Read article Download PDF
 

Policy Contribution

Is the COVID-19 crisis an opportunity to boost the euro as a global currency?

The euro never challenged the US dollar, and its international status declined with the euro crisis. Faced with a US administration willing to use its hegemonic currency to extend its domestic policies beyond its borders, Europe is reflecting on how to promote it currency on the global stage to ensure its autonomy. But promoting a more prominent role for the euro is difficult and involves far-reaching changes to the fabric of the monetary union.

By: Grégory Claeys and Guntram B. Wolff Topic: Global economy and trade, Macroeconomic policy Date: June 5, 2020
Read article More on this topic
 

Opinion

Politics, not policy will help Lagarde save the eurozone

Her success at helm of Europe’s central bank will depend on her ability to mend fences with hawkish policymakers.

By: Guntram B. Wolff, Rebecca Christie and Bruegel Topic: Macroeconomic policy Date: November 4, 2019
Read article More on this topic More by this author
 

Blog Post

Argentina, plus ça change…

Recent primary elections in Argentina saw the defeat by a wide margin of President Macri. This fueled market volatility given expectations of a reversal of reforms after national elections in October; the recent re-introduction of capital controls attests to the extent of the economic fallout. With Macri’s end in sight, this post will review the evolution of the Argentinian economy during his term.

By: Marta Domínguez-Jiménez Topic: Global economy and trade Date: September 9, 2019
Read article More on this topic
 

Opinion

EU policy recommendations: A stronger legal framework is not enough to foster national compliance

In 2011, the EU introduced stricter rules to monitor the implementation of country-specific policy recommendations. Using a new dataset, this column investigates whether these new laws have increased national compliance. There is no evidence that these stricter processes matter for implementation rates, whereas macroeconomic fundamentals and market pressure are important determinants of implementation progress. These results suggest ways to improve the effectiveness of European policy coordination that go beyond stronger legal processes.

By: Konstantinos Efstathiou, Guntram B. Wolff and Bruegel Topic: Macroeconomic policy Date: July 23, 2019
Read about event More on this topic
 

Past Event

Past Event

Eurozone agreement: a mini revolution?

What does the new Eurozone budget do, and what does it not do? What are its strengths and weaknesses?

Speakers: Bruno Le Maire, Guntram B. Wolff and Bruegel Topic: Macroeconomic policy Location: Bruegel, Rue de la Charité 33, 1210 Brussels Date: July 8, 2019
Load more posts