Video

Andre Sapir on the ECB’s bond buying plans

How does the ECB’s new OMT program differ from previous European Central Bank attitudes towards bond buying? Well it differs in various dimensions but I think the most important dimension is conditionality. In his press conference, Mr Draghi, the president of the ECB, repeated several times that this is a two-legged affair. The central bank […]

By: Date: September 7, 2012 Topic: Macroeconomic policy

How does the ECB’s new OMT program differ from previous European Central Bank attitudes towards bond buying?

Well it differs in various dimensions but I think the most important dimension is conditionality. In his press conference, Mr Draghi, the president of the ECB, repeated several times that this is a two-legged affair. The central bank is acting but governments need to act as well. He essentially said that the previous programme had failed and his view was that it had failed for two reasons. One was that central governments had not done enough on their part. There has not been a contract in a sense between governments and the central bank. There has been an implicit contract but he’s really looking for an explicit contract, and that’s the conditionality coming from the fact that countries would need to subscribe to ESM  programs with all the conditionalities that go along with it. Including obviously the monetary. On the part of the European institutions probably on the side of the IMF.

The other key element is that they are not announcing ex ante how far they would go. So they may go very far, or they may even cut the program very quickly for a country if it were not to fulfill the conditions. So everything is possible, and they are not announcing, as was the case for the SMP, weekly targets. I think that very rapidly got exhausted and the market lost trust of the capacity and the willingness of the central bank to intervene on sufficient scale. So here it is a bigger scale, but attached to that are the conditions.

What can we expect for Spanish and Italian economies? Bond markets will certainly calm down, but do you expect this ECB action to be only a temporary solution for the crisis?

Well in the case of Spain, it’s more or less a conclusion that they will go for a programme. In exchange for that programme the ECB will intervene, the spreads will be reduced if there is credibility on both sides.  Credibility of the governments and the ECB.

A big question mark is what will happen to Italy. It will be relieved to know that there is this programme, especially if it is successful for Spain. Then Italy potentially will be able to escape a programme. It may not be the case in the end. A lot will depend on what will happen in the coming weeks and months with Spain. If it’s really successful for Spain it may mean it will be successful in a broader scale, even in a preventive manner for a country like Italy.


Republishing and referencing

Bruegel considers itself a public good and takes no institutional standpoint. Anyone is free to republish and/or quote this post without prior consent. Please provide a full reference, clearly stating Bruegel and the relevant author as the source, and include a prominent hyperlink to the original post.

Read about event
 

Past Event

Past Event

Monetary policy in the time of climate change

How does climate change influence monetary policy in the eurozone? What potential monetary policy measures should be taken up to address climate risks?

Speakers: Cornelia Holthausen, Jean Pisani-Ferry and Guntram B. Wolff Topic: Green economy, Macroeconomic policy Date: October 20, 2021
Read about event
 

Past Event

Past Event

A hybrid future of work

Addressing employers’ and employees’ challenges.

Speakers: Julie Brophy, Joost Korte, Laura Nurski, Renske Paans and Alex A. Saliba Topic: Digital economy and innovation, Inclusive growth Date: October 19, 2021
Read about event More on this topic
 

Past Event

Past Event

What is the link between biodiversity loss and financial instability?

Biodiversity loss impacts financial stability. How big is the risk of biodiversity loss for financial institutions?

Speakers: Sylvie Goulard, Romain Svartzman, Guntram B. Wolff and Michael Wilkins Topic: Banking and capital markets Date: October 5, 2021
Read about event More on this topic
 

Past Event

Past Event

How to strike the right balance between the three pillars of the pension system?

In this event panelists will discuss the future of European pension schemes.

Speakers: Elsa Fornero, Svend E. Hougaard Jensen and Suvi-Anne Siimes Topic: Macroeconomic policy Date: September 23, 2021
Read about event More on this topic
 

Past Event

Past Event

Academic lecture: International technology competition

Bruegel Annual Meetings, Day 3 - On the final day of the Annual Meetings, our Director Guntram Wolf sits with Keyu Jin to discuss international competition policy.

Speakers: Keyu Jin, J. Scott Marcus and Guntram B. Wolff Topic: Digital economy and innovation Location: Palais des Académies, Rue Ducale 1, Brussels Date: September 3, 2021
Read about event
 

Past Event

Past Event

Conference on the Future of Europe: envisioning EU citizens engagement

Bruegel Annual Meetings, Day 3 - Panellists will discuss different options and what they may entail while revisiting the debates on the future of Europe at national and EU-level that have been conducted thus far.

Speakers: Caroline de Gruyter, Kalypso Nicolaïdis, Niclas Poitiers and György Szapáry Topic: European governance, Macroeconomic policy Location: Palais des Academies, Rue Ducale 1 Date: September 3, 2021
Read about event
 

Past Event

Past Event

Sustainable finance

Bruegel Annual Meetings, Day 3 - In this session on the final day of the Meetings, our panelists will discuss the future of finance and its sustainability.

Speakers: Maria Demertzis, Alberto De Paoli, Pierre Heilbronn and Alexandra Jour-Schroeder Topic: Banking and capital markets, Green economy Location: Palais des Académies, Rue Ducale 1, Brussels Date: September 3, 2021
Read about event More on this topic
 

Past Event

Past Event

The role of the EU's trade strategy for an inclusive and sustainable recovery

Bruegel Annual Meetings, Day 3 - We are delighted to welcome Valdis Dombrovskis, Executive Vice President of the European Commission for An Economy that Works for People to talk about Europe's trade strategy.

Speakers: Valdis Dombrovskis, Alicia García-Herrero and Guntram B. Wolff Topic: Macroeconomic policy Location: Palais des Academies, Rue Ducale 1 Date: September 3, 2021
Read about event More on this topic
 

Past Event

Past Event

Navigating a more polarised world: policy implications

Bruegel Annual Meetings, Day 2 - Are we entering a new age in the relationship between international economics and global politics? Is Europe well-equipped for this new world?

Speakers: Hélène Rey, Jean Pisani-Ferry, Adam Tooze and Sabine Weyand Topic: Global economy and trade Location: Palais des Academies, Rue Ducale 1 Date: September 2, 2021
Read about event
 

Past Event

Past Event

Blending physical and virtual: shaping the new workplace

Bruegel Annual Meetings, Day 2 - This panel will cover the changes the COVID-19 pandemic made to our workplaces, and what to expect in the near future.

Speakers: Nicholas Bloom, Michael Froman, Mario Mariniello, Sara Matthieu and Luca Visentini Topic: Inclusive growth, Macroeconomic policy Location: Academy Palace Date: September 2, 2021
Read about event
 

Past Event

Past Event

Brave new digital industrial policy

Bruegel Annual Meetings, Day 2 - In this session our speakers will discuss innovation and digitalisation.

Speakers: Francesca Bria, Kerstin Jorna, Aura Salla, Marietje Schaake and Reinhilde Veugelers Topic: Digital economy and innovation, Inclusive growth Location: Palais des Académies, Rue Ducale 1, Brussels Date: September 2, 2021
Read about event More on this topic
 

Past Event

Past Event

Monetary and macroeconomic policies at the crossroads

Bruegel Annual Meetings, Day 2- In this session we would like to discuss monetary and macroeconomic policies after Covid-19.

Speakers: Grégory Claeys, Per Callesen, Gita Gopinath, Jorge Sicilia Serrano and Lawrence H. Summers Topic: Banking and capital markets Location: PALAIS DES ACADEMIES, RUE DUCALE 1 Date: September 2, 2021
Load more posts